Real Estate Indicators and Financial Stability

Forecasting real estate returns using financial spreads

This paper examines the predictability of real estate asset returns using a number of time series techniques. A vector autoregressive model, which incorporates financial spreads, is able to improve upon the out of sample forecasting performance of univariate time series models at a short forecasting horizon. However, as the forecasting horizon increases, the explanatory power of such models is ...

Contagion Channels between Real Estate and Financial Markets∗

The recent crisis has demonstrated the close linkages between various asset classes within a country as well as the association between assets internationally. The aim of this research is to provide for a better understanding of some of these linkages by conducting an empirical investigation of the channels underlying the risk of contagion between real estate and financial markets in the United...

Real Estate Project Financial Evaluation Based on Cash Flow Estimation

This paper analyzes the factors influencing cash flows and divides them as certainty factors and uncertainty factors; it mainly discusses the uncertainty factors causing change of cash flow. For the characteristics of uncertainty of cash flows in real estate project, we adopted probability theory and mathematical statistics to balance and estimate the cash flows. Then the computer simulation me...

Financial Benchmarking: New Zealand Real Estate Agencies Compare Their Performance

Financial Options from Regulating Real Estate for Habitat Conservation

This article offers an analysis of financial incentives for landowners, conservation bank managers, and land developers under habitat regulations for land use. A financial option theory approach is used with call and put options as contracts for habitat conservation and exchange. The market for habitat is modeled as a stochastic game to derive the option price on habitat that allows for arbitra...